Info that hits HOME
Just to share some recent information, these are National numbers. I find it interesting that residential construction has dropped to 2.3% of GDP, the lowest level on record. Economists believe it will not go much lower, but who knows. Housing starts and permits are down 13% over a year ago. This may seem like bad news, but in our area it is actually good news for most homeowners. It means the builders, who have been stiff competition for sales wont be undercutting prices as much as they have been. National supply of existing home sales dropped to 8.4 months, which is pretty darn good.
More good news as March Housing Starts are UP 7.2% to a 549,000 unit annual rate. February starts were revised UP 6.9%. Also in the news, new Building Permits surged 11.2% in March to a 594,000 annual rate and were revised UP 3.3% for February. This is typical for this area, as most homes will be built starting in spring. Plus, Existing Home Sales are UP 3.7% in March and down only 6.3% compared to a year ago.
What does this mean? It means there are lots of numbers that are floating around. You know what your neighborhood looks like and what your friends are saying. Are property values still declining? Mostly. Are they rising, probably not. In my business we look at each home individually and that is the only way to know what is happening to your home. You may live in a community that is selling well and starting to see improvement. You friend might live in one that is terribly depressed and filled with foreclosures.
With mortgage rates at historic lows and mortgage applications down over 12% from last week, now may be the best time to refinance. Since applications are down, mortgage brokers now have more time to search for the best deal for you. This fact, compounded with near historic low rates, could translate into good news for homeowners.
Mortgage applications for purchases are now at a 13 year low and refinance volume dropped 14.3 from the previous week, according to an AP article from 6/9/2010
Click here for an article from Reuters about mortgage rates.
Click here for an article from the AP.
So housing starts were up and it was expected that home prices would follow but it looks like that is not the case nationally. On a positive note, this area is just getting into it 'season' so we all, realtors, appraiser and homeowners have a positive outlook for the market.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704026204575266200277903596.html?mod=WSJ_PersonalFinance_RealEstate
Economic and real estate market analysts at Fannie Mae reported Monday that the real estate market is bouncing back. The analysts also noted that oversupply is slowing the recovery.
Chief Economist for Fannie Mae, Doug Duncan reported Monday, "We estimate that June 2009 was the end of the recession, a good sign that we're moving forward, Nevertheless, significant improvements in the labor market and consumer spending will be the big hurdles as we move toward recovery in the housing market and broader economy."
For more on this topic check out an article on Business Week click here
In a report released today describes a 7.4% increase in existing homes sales in the month of November. Economists anticipated a 3.3% increase, so the 7.4% was a positive suprise. Read more about the report on the Wall Street journal's website click here . At Appraising in Delaware, we have also noticed a spike in volume in existing home sales in Kent and Sussex Counties.
Looks like Santa may have come early this year!
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